Golub Capital: A Dividend Cut Is Still Likely

  • I maintain my 'Hold' rating on GBDC due to ongoing concerns about dividend sustainability, despite a recent improvement in the payout ratio to 100%. The cessation of special dividends reduced short-term risk, but the base dividend remains at risk if adjusted net investment income doesn't stabilize. GBDC's portfolio quality is average, with a low non-accrual ratio, but negative net funds growth and dilution from the merger weigh on per-share results.