Hilton Grand Vacations: Attractive Despite Aggressive Financial Policy (Rating Upgrade)

  • HGV's recent underperformance is driven by credit losses and complex revenue recognition, but deferred revenue from new projects will boost future earnings. The company is aggressively using securitizations to unlock $700M in cash, fueling buybacks and capital returns, despite elevated leverage and rating agency concerns. Core timeshare sales remain resilient, delinquencies are improving, and tighter credit standards are supporting portfolio quality, though financing risk persists.