Alphabet: Shares Trading 13%-35% Below Fair Value

  • My sum of the parts analysis suggests Alphabet may be undervalued by 13% to 35%. I moved my $200 price target from year-end to the end of Q3. For the valuation analysis, I use EV/Sales and I compare Alphabet's segments to the closest matches at Amazon, Microsoft, Snapchat, and Meta. There is a big risk to my bull case: the ongoing antitrust trial could trigger a selloff if the remedies decision expected by August 2025 is unfavorable for Alphabet.