Aecon: Big Backlog Build, Rating Upgrade

  • Upgrading Aecon to Buy as legacy contract risks recede, backlog surges 55%, and nuclear opportunities expand with supportive policy shifts in Canada and the U.S. Margins should improve as the contract mix shifts to early-stage, higher-margin projects; recurring concession revenues and new partnership contracts reduce risk exposure. Valuation remains attractive at a significant discount to peers, with a 12-month price target of CAD 22 and further upside as legacy issues resolve.