ZTO Express: Parcel Boom Meets Margin Gloom

  • ZTO Express' Q1 results missed expectations due to lower ASPs, reflecting intense price competition despite strong parcel volume growth. We maintain a HOLD rating, citing macroeconomic uncertainty, competitive pressures, and margin compression as reasons for caution. ZTO's operational efficiency, e-commerce partnerships, and reverse logistics growth are positives, but pricing pressure and margin risks persist.