UNHappy Ending: How Big Challenges Nuked My UnitedHealth Thesis

  • I underestimated UnitedHealth's vulnerability to rising medical costs, leading to a significant earnings miss and a 20% drop in market cap. Despite recent setbacks, UnitedHealth's long-term potential remains strong, with expected 13-16% annual earnings growth and attractive entry points for new investors. Rising healthcare costs and inflation pose significant challenges, making UnitedHealth less of a high-conviction pick in the near term.