LGI Homes: Margin Discipline, Community Growth - Initiate At Strong Buy

  • We initiate on LGI Homes at Strong Buy, reflecting conviction in the company's discipline on margins, and outsized community growth in high-demand US markets. Our price target of US$123 is set at 8x EBITDA multiple on our FY26E estimate, reflecting a balance of near-term margin headwinds and long-term operational scale. We estimate EBITDA growth of +40% in FY25E and +20% in FY26E on +22% community count growth and a strong backlog.