Over 6% Yield And A Deep Discount: Is United Parcel Service The Best Contrarian Play In 2025?

  • UPS is oversold, trading near multi-year lows, with Wall Street overly focused on negatives and ignoring operational improvements and cost cuts. Management is aggressively restructuring, targeting $3.5B in cost savings, pivoting to higher-margin healthcare and SMB segments, and maintaining a nearly 7% dividend yield. Valuation is compelling: P/E around 14, EV/EBITDA under 9, and 25–35% upside to fair value if cost cuts and new business lines deliver.