Natural Grocers: Healthy Upside, But Pricey - Hold For A Better Entry Point

  • Natural Grocers delivered strong revenue and margin growth, with net income up 93% since 2022, driven by health-focused differentiation and cost control. Management raised guidance, reflecting confidence in continued momentum, but I believe current valuation is elevated and prefer to wait for a pullback. Valuation models suggest 12% upside at $57.56 per share, but a conservative scenario shows potential downside, justifying a cautious approach.