NICE: Moat, Profitability, Cash, Growth, And Value

  • NICE has a strong leadership and narrow economic moat in both business segments (CX and FCC) based on switching costs. With a revised down 7% revenue growth and ~30% free cash-flow margin, NICE slightly misses the Rule of 40, but I expect a slight re-acceleration of growth next year. Derived from a DCF model and backed by a comparison with peers, my fair value estimate is $232, about 42% above the current price of $163.4.