Alibaba: Pullback Sets Up Compelling Long-Term Opportunity (Rating Upgrade)

  • Upgrade Alibaba to BUY, seeing 20% upside as core ecommerce stabilizes and AI/cloud growth outpaces peers despite recent earnings miss. China commerce fundamentals are improving, with CMR growth accelerating and monetization gains driven by new tools and higher-commissioned product mix. AI is a long-term growth driver, but e-commerce remains the core; Alibaba leads in AI adoption and merchant productivity enhancements.