Casella Waste Systems: Rating Downgrade As Valuation Has Already Priced In Near-Term Upside

  • Casella Waste Systems reported strong 1Q25 performance with 22.3% y/y revenue growth and 22% adj. EBITDA growth, but valuation now appears unattractive. CWST's pricing power remains intact, and fleet modernization and landfill internalization initiatives are reducing costs and improving margins despite lower volumes. CWST's balance sheet supports growth through M&A, adding $50 million in annualized revenue in 1Q25, enhancing EBITDA growth and operational efficiency.