CME Group: Risk Is Now The House Edge; CME Poised To Outroll Street

  • Initiate Strong Buy on CME Group with $332.96 PT; CME monetizes market disruption with record Q1 ADV and sustained speculative "risk-on" positioning. CME deserves a forward PE multiple of 29.5x for FY25E, driven by high-rate-fueled interest income and structural macro-vol, driving cross-asset product innovation. Above Street EPS for FY25/FY26E due to unmatched volume tailwinds, strategic catalysts, and capital-light tech investment, positioning CME for a breakout.