Microsoft Q3 Preview: AI CapEx Moment Of Truth

  • Microsoft Corporation's AI/datacenter build-out for FY 2025 is misaligned with actual returns, leading to a strong sell rating despite recent stock performance. Wall Street analysts are skeptical, with numerous downward revenue revisions and concerns over CapEx overspending and thinning cloud margins. Q3 is pivotal, with potential negative impacts from overbuilding AI infrastructure and under-utilized GPU farms straining free cash flow.