FedEx Corporation: Downgrading To Hold On Visible Near-Term Earnings Risk

  • I am downgrading FedEx to a hold due to significant macro risks, despite the company's strong cost control and operational improvements. Freight struggles and global tariffs are impacting demand, with industrial recovery not expected until 2FH26, affecting high-margin B2B shipments. Positive cost management is evident, with Express segment margins improving and significant savings from DRIVE and Network 2.0 initiatives.