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Posted by
Two Blokes Fri at 8:00 PM -
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Alcoa posted sharp sequential declines in EBITDA and Net Income for 2Q2025, deepening the significant uncertainty surrounding potential increases in U.S. tariffs on aluminum imports. Valuation multiples are attractive and debt is manageable, yet my DCF model shows the stock is trading near fair value with limited upside at current prices. The biggest risk is the unresolved US trade policy, which could squeeze margins and trigger a global recession, hurting aluminum demand and prices.
