Ardagh Metal Packaging: Undervalued And Underowned, But Execution Could Unlock Upside

  • Ardagh Metal Packaging is exiting a heavy investment phase, with volumes rising, margins stabilizing, and capex normalizing, signaling an operational inflection. Despite high leverage and weak free cash flow, the company's improving fundamentals and discounted valuation offer 60% upside if 2025 targets are met. Execution is key: stable margins, debt reduction, and consistent cash flow are required for rerating, while risks include input cost volatility and governance concerns.