Opportunities Following The End Of The Worst Seasonal Trade For Home Builders

  • Home builders suffered historic underperformance versus the S&P 500, but recent technical breakouts signal a potential bearish-to-bullish reversal for ITB. Falling mortgage rates and improving technicals support a tactical rebound in homebuilder stocks, with ITB and select names like TMHC and LEN showing upside potential. TMHC's breakout above its 200DMA, LEN's basing pattern, and CCS's reversal offer attractive entry points, though LEN is treated as a shorter-term trade due to weaker fundamentals.