BlackRock TCP Capital Corp: Dividend May Survive 2025, But Merger Hasn't Panned Out Yet

  • TCPC's merger with BCIC has not delivered expected synergies, with shares down double-digits and credit quality concerns persisting. Despite a near 14% yield and a 19% discount to NAV, I remain cautious due to elevated non-accruals and unrealized losses. Dividend coverage appears safe for the next 3-4 quarters, but risks from non-performing loans and PIK income could force future cuts.