Petrobras: Deeply Discounted Dividend Story - Maintain Buy Despite New Normal

  • PBR's state-run status has triggered its deeply discounted valuations - a critical factor that is further supported by the rich spreads against the low break-even point. These reasons are why the contested stock remains a compelling dividend story, especially since it offers double-digits yields and generous payouts. Thanks to the normalization in crude oil spot prices, the PBR management will also be revising its 5Y capex plans downwards, with it implying further Free Cash Flow tailwinds.