Coherent: Datacom Tailwinds, Optical Breakout

  • Initiate Strong Buy on COHR with $131 PT, driven by AI datacom demand, manufacturing scale, and next-gen optical modules ramping ahead of consensus. COHR's vertical integration and new 6-inch indium phosphide line unlock margin expansion, cost advantages, and accelerated revenue growth in datacenter optics. Consensus underestimates COHR's growth; we model 12% FY26E revenue growth and 490bps GM expansion, justifying a premium 3.6x EV/Sales multiple.