Citigroup: CCAR Is A Potential Game Changer In June 2025

  • Citigroup's shares are undervalued at ~0.7x tangible book value, making buybacks highly attractive, especially with a projected RoTCE of 10%-11% by 2026. Citi's ability to execute buybacks is constrained by its CET1 ratio, but potential reductions in the SCB could unlock significant capital for buybacks. Long-term capital ratio targets may decrease to 11.5%-12%, driven by asset shedding, regulatory changes, and strategic pivots to stable businesses.