XLK: A Useful Hold, But Not My First Tech Allocation Today

  • Stock selection beats thematic tech now, as most ETFs miss emerging compounders or overindex to hype—making diversified plays like QQQ more sensible until AI monetization and macro clarity improve. XLK's high concentration in volatile large caps like NVIDIA and Apple, and exclusion of defensives like Amazon and Google, weakens its appeal as a stable tech allocation. VGT offers broader exposure than XLK, covering more mid-cap names and innovation layers, which may better absorb shifts if market leadership rotates beyond the megacap giants.