ASML: Shares Could Get Way Cheaper

  • I believe the post earnings selloff was an overreaction to tariff uncertainty, and I anticipate further volatility with sector specific semiconductor tariffs due next week. That said, I estimate a realistic 10% tariff on US imports will be imposed and fully passed on to customers, limiting ASML's margin hit. I expect High‑NA EUV adoption to lift margins by 2027–28. Mass production of NXE:5200 tools remains several years away.