Air Products and Chemicals: Margin Rebound To Drive Earnings Surge

  • Initiate Air Products and Chemicals with strong buy, $368 PT, citing cost resets and underappreciated margin rebound despite helium and macro headwinds. APD's core industrial gas franchise delivers resilient, contract-driven cash flow, with cost-outs and margin recovery above consensus expectations for FY25–26. Valuation assumes mean reversion to 17x FY26E EV/EBITDA, offering 36% upside and prudent risk/reward amid higher rates and market exuberance.