Home Depot: Margin Reacceleration Through Pro Credit Boost

  • We rate Home Depot a Hold with a $343 price target, as shares are fairly valued and near-term upside is limited by macro headwinds and housing market risks. EPS growth is poised to reaccelerate in FY26, driven by Pro credit adoption, margin leverage, and the return of share buybacks—catalysts underappreciated by consensus. The SRS Distribution acquisition and Pro integration are long-term moats, but execution risk and housing affordability constraints warrant patience over aggressive buying.