GMS: Will QXO's Bid Unlock Its Potential? (Rating Upgrade)

  • I upgrade GMS to 'Hold' as QXO's acquisition offer and reasonable valuation provide a floor, despite ongoing end-market challenges. Wallboard and Ceiling segments show signs of stabilization, but Steel Framing and commercial markets remain weak amid high rates and policy uncertainty. Cost reductions and steady pricing support margin recovery, yet cash flow remains pressured and EBITDA growth is likely limited near-term.