Bank of America (BofA) cautions investors that February is historically weak for the S&P 500 (SPX)—especially in the first year of a presidential cycle.
\u2714 February Struggles – Since 1928, the S&P 500 has risen only 53% of the time, averaging a -0.09% return.
\u2714 Presidential Cycle Effect – In the first year of a presidency, performance drops further: only 46% positive, averaging -1.66%.
\u2714 Seasonality Patterns – Weak Februarys are often followed by a rally into spring and summer.
\u2714 Technical Risks – If the S&P 500 breaks below 5770-5830, bearish signals could emerge.
\ud83d\udd39 Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Remains Strong – BofA sees a bullish consolidation supported by strong market breadth.
\ud83d\udd39 Breadth Concerns for S&P 500 – A bearish divergence could appear if key support levels fail.
\ud83d\udd39 Potential Spring Rally – If historical trends hold, markets could rebound post-February.
\u2705 Sector Historical API – Analyze past trends in S&P 500 sector performance.
\u2705 Market Biggest Gainers API – Spot high-momentum stocks despite broader weakness.
